ATHENS - The
Greek economy is set to shrink by more than expected this year, the government
said on Wednesday, as it braced for nationwide strikes protesting its plans for
bringing the country's budget deficit under control.
Greece,
grappling with a ballooning deficit and a $409 billion debt pile, told the
European Union that 2010 gross domestic product would "most likely"
shrink by more than the 0.3 per cent currently forecast.
It
also said the drop may exceed an alternative, more pessimistic, scenario published
in Greece's Stability and Growth Programme in January envisaging a 0.8 per cent
contraction.
Economists
and ratings agencies have warned that a sharper than expected slowdown in the
economy is one of the biggest threats to Greece's commitment to cut its budget
deficit to 2.8 per cent 2012 from close to 13 per cent last year.
The
finance ministry said it could not provide precise GDP estimates, citing
planned revisions to data against which 2010 numbers will be calculated, but a
finance ministry official said a new forecast should be ready by the end of
April.
"I
estimate the economy will contract by 2.8 percent," said Gikas Hardouvelis,
Chief Economist at EFG Eurobank and professor of economics at the University of
Piraeus.
"Consumption
will decline about 5 per cent after (austerity) measures which will curtail
incomes in the public sector," he said. adding that the government's
deficit goals should still be attainable given there was still room to cut
spending in some areas to address any further revenue shortfall.
Another
key concern among economists is whether the government has the will and the support
it needs to deliver on its budget commitments.
Recent opinion pollsindicate overall support for the government, elected in
October, has remained relatively steady but reveal deep divides over the fairness
of VAT hikes, cuts in bonuses for civil servants and a pension freeze.