PORT-AU-PRINCE, Haiti - The cost of
rebuilding impoverished Haiti after last month's catastrophic earthquake could
reach nearly $14 billion, making it proportionately the most destructive natural
disaster in modern times.
A study conducted by economists at the Inter-American Development
Bank, which takes into account the magnitude of the 12 January disaster, the
number of fatalities and Haiti's population and per capita GDP, raises previous
damage estimates from the quake to between $8 billion and $14 billion.
The IADB economists said the
Haitian earthquake was especially destructive when viewed in relation to the
Caribbean country's population of nearly 10 million and to its already weak and
impoverished economy.
The quake also struck the capital
city Port-au-Prince, the centre of the country's commerce, government and
communications, destroying or damaging the presidential palace, the national
cathedral, churches and government buildings.
In the IADB study, economists
Andrew Powell, Eduardo Cavallo and Oscar Becerra calculated a base estimate of
$8.1 billion in damages estimated for a 250,000 dead-or-missing toll.
But they estimated this figure was
likely to be at the low end and concluded that an estimate of $13.9 billion
damages was within the statistical margin of error.
The IADB study said the Haitian
government had reported 230,000 dead as of 10 February.
"While the results are subject
to many caveats, the study confirms that the Haitian earthquake is likely to be
the most destructive natural disaster in modern times, when viewed in relation
to the size of the Haiti's population and its economy," the IADB
economists said.